What Did The Home Buyer Tax Credit Cost?

According to the Government Accountability Office (GAO)  the home buyer tax credit will end up costing tax payers $22 billion.  About a third of those claiming the credit were trade-up buyers from the most recent phase of the credit, which allowed repeat buyers in addition to the first time buyers. In terms of states’ participation in the credit, California had the most claims.  Nevada, Idaho, and Wyoming had the most dollars for the tax credit claimed per resident. Here is a link to a chart showing the dollar amount per resident by State.

There is no doubt that the Tax Credit programs helped kick the industry into gear, though only temporarily.  I’m hearing that another dynamic developed:  home buyers who missed out on the last two Tax Credit programs waiting in the wings for the next Tax Credit to be announced.  Though the two programs created a flourish of activity, they also created a pulling back of potential buyers as soon as they ended.  I don’t want to get overly political (and I am grateful for the Tax Credit programs of ’09 and ’10), but this is what happens when government attempts to manipulate the economy.  It’s artificial, the benefits are often short term,  and it sometimes creates an offsetting reaction in the opposite direction.  Hindsight is 20/20, but we’d probably be in better shape today had we done a better job overseeing Wall St. over the past 10 years, rather than attempting to create a momentary urgency around homeownership after the fall.

Thank goodness we have the Help-U-Sell Homebuyer Stimulus Program to coax some of those procrastinating potential buyers back into the market.  Truth is:  there’s probably NOT going to be another Tax Credit for home buyers.  But, when you combine remarkably low interest rates with amazingly low prices — and then toss in the Homebuyer Stimulus Program — this is one of the best times in the history of the world to buy a home.

Focus

There is an old Cajun saying that I dearly love:  ‘Be what you is; even if you’s old and ugly then be old and ugly, but be what you is.’  The bad grammar is intentional – that’s the way I heard it.

There are many messages in this little line, but this morning what I’m getting is:  know your strengths and structure your environment so that you can bring them into play as frequently as possible.

Traditional real estate has generally made a mess out of the salesperson’s job description.  Agents are expected to do it all — which means prospect, list, sell, process, coordinate, followup and on and on and on.  Truth is:  it’s a very rare individual who can do all of that well and all at once.  The sharpest quickly zero in on the jobs that result in more listings and more sales and build a team to take on the other functions.

Maybe you’re a great people person.  You’re personable, sharp and you know your business.  People like to be around you and it seems the more time you spend reaching out to people the more business you do.  Maybe technology baffles you.  You couldn’t put together a flyer if your life depended on it and you still haven’t learned how to get your email on your Blackberry.  Instead of looking over at the Wunderkinds of our industry with all of their devices and technical know-h0w and feeling like you just don’t measure up, find a way to focus on your strength.  In this very two dimensional example, the way is clearly to hire somebody to do the largely clerical job of managing your technology (and maybe more).  Really:  if you are the kind of people magnet I just described, it’s probably a waste of your time and a squandering your biggest asset to futz around trying to keep up with technology when you could pay somebody else to do it for you at $12 an hour.

I got a real lesson in this last week when John Powell and I dropped in on one of our top producing brokers, Patrick Wood, in Chino Hills, CA.  Pat’s been in the top five consistently and has closed 44 sides in the last 3 months.  He has among the largest market shares in his area and personally outperforms entire offices of traditional agents.  Getting a moment with Pat is not easy because his typical day is non-stop meetings, back-to-back , all day long.  He’s doing what he’s good at:  Pat is definitely a people person.  Sitting just outside his office door is his assistant, Valerie.  You know the instant you meet her that this person is supremely well organized.  Her work-space is neat and everything seems to have its place.  The morning we dropped by I commented on the stack of offers she had open before her.  ‘That’s 18 offers that came in on one of our REO listings, ‘ she said.  I bet she could easily tell you the essential details of the best 5 at the drop of a hat.

John and I had been with Pat for about 30 minutes when Valerie came to the door.  ‘Your 10:30 is here and don’t forget, you’ve got an 11 O’clock, too,’ she said.  The message was clear:  You need to wrap this up or you’re going to be running late all day . . . and frankly, nice as James and John are, neither of them is going to buy or sell real estate through you, so get a move on!

This kind of functional partnership is the stuff of greatness.  With the right help a good REALTOR can be huge.   On the other hand, it’s very hard to find a great REALTOR who has no help.

In the early 90s, I spent a couple of days with Ron Prechtl, one of the top agents to ever work in Granada Hills.  He was a people meeting machine and that’s mostly what he did:  meet people, let them know he was in the business and collect their contact information.  Every time he came into the office, he’d drop a handful of business cards and scraps of paper on which he’d recorded information on the people he’d met on his assistant’s desk.  ‘These go on the regular mailing list,’ he’d say and then, pulling a few out, ‘And these go on the hot list.’  His assistant had a pre arranged schedule of mailings for all of Ron’s various prospect lists and one of her most important tasks was to keep it going and keep it growing.

Ron was a pretty sharp guy; but I’ll bet if he had to organize and maintain a mailing list, produce, print and mail letters on a consistent basis and track the results . . . he’d have done less than half his normal production.

I’ll bet he never spent an hour and a half making a flyer . . . someone else did that while he was out meeting five more people.

In today’s real estate world, finding the time to do what you do best can be daunting.  If you’re in the business, you’re probably doing Short Sales.  The time and detail requirements for this type of business are so demanding that few are really good at it.  You could spend hours of your day cranking through this — again largely clerical — job or find someone to do it for you.  It doesn’t even have to be an individual on staff.  We recently heard a good presentation from the Loss Mitigation Network who will take on that job for you . . . for free.

Is our business changing?  Absolutely.  Are there more and more new tools, new technologies, new strategies flooding into the industry?  Without a doubt.  But people still deal with people and that’s where they usually make the decision to buy or sell:  with people.  Don’t let your learning curve keep you from doing the thing that has always made you successful:  meeting the people.  Even if you is old an ugly . . .

(Un) Balance Sheet

Imagine an Ordinary (Traditional) Real Estate Office:  Acme Realty . . .

Average Sale Price:  $300,000

Average Commission per closed side:  3% ($9,000)

20 agents averaging 1/2 a closed side per month (some do more most do less — and the ‘average’ is way above what’s typical today)

Average Agent Commission Split:  70%

Expenses:

  • Rent:  $5,000
  • Utilities: $500
  • Office Equipment:  $500
  • Supplies:  $500
  • Admin:  $4,000
  • Management:  $7,000 (Most Brokers do this job 24/7 and never budget for it . . . which is voodoo economics to the max)
  • Dues:  $300
  • Conventions and Training:  $500
  • Insurance:  $300
  • Marketing:  $5,000
  • Total:  $23,600/ month

Production:

10 closed sides/month X $9,000 GCI per closed side = $90,000 GCI/month

Less 8% Franchise Royalty + Mass Ad Fund:  $7,200 (and you’d be crazy to start a business today without a recognized brand and support)

Less 70% to Agents:  $57,960

Net Operating Income (Company Dollar):  $24,840

Less Expenses: $23,600

Net Profit, Before Taxes:  $1,240 = 1.37% . . . which could easily be wiped out if the copy machine breaks or one of the closings falls through.

Is there any question that the ‘Ordinary’ real estate business is broken???

Un-Dumbing the Industry

I am very encouraged today.  A little elated, actually.  Yesterday, John Powell and I met with seven members of the Help-U-Sell family in San Diego and Riverside Counties.  Our conversation was free-wheeling but seemed to focus mostly on marketing and deal-doing strategies.  As we got into the realm of Short Sales I had to sit back, and I started to smile to myself.  These guys, the survivors, know their stuff!

Short Sales are complicated things.  There are dozens of lenders, each with their own requirements, varying industry and government regulations to consider as well as the vagaries of investors on the secondary market.  To work them and work them in a way that makes them worthwhile, there is a huge volume of information a real estate professional must know and manage.  The level of detail, understanding and street-wise know how I heard when these folks talked about what they’re doing was astounding.

It took me WAY BACK (I mean, way WAY BACK) to 1982, when interest rates edged close to 17% and the only way you survived was by knowing financing, contracts, and sales strategies inside and out.  We called it ‘creative financing,’ but it was really just knowing your business so well you could make things happen even under impossible circumstances.  It was a great time to be a REALTOR, a time of pride, because you knew if the person sitting across the table from you had a REALTOR pin on their lapel and an HP 12-C calculator cranked up, he or she was probably just as smart as you and the two of you were going to put that deal together.

The boom years were a fun ride, like the latest offering at Six Flags.  But, like that Six Flags ride, the pace was fast and the lines of people pressing to get in on the good thing were long.  Few practitioners took the time to learn their business. Most just gripped the safety bar and screamed.   We (as an industry) got dumber and dumber.  It was almost cartoon comical . . .

Picture the agent and buyer standing outside the house that’s just been toured.  The buyer says, ‘So, if I put 20% down, what would my payment be on a 30 year fixed?’  The agent hems and haws, scratches his head and finally answers, ‘I don’t know . . . let me call my lender.’ That was 2005.

In the churning and collapse of our markets, the weaker ones, the ones who didn’t learn how to put a and b together to make c, fell by the wayside.  They didn’t have the depth of knowledge they needed to make it through this mess.  That’s why the ranks of REALTORS across the country are way down.  The survivors are a wonderful bunch of very sharp people.  Many are hanging on by their wits and their toenails waiting for the wheel to turn but from what I see, their grip is tenacious and they will make it around that bend.

Suddenly, the REALTOR is a hero again.

Is Proper Pricing Less Important Today?

Pricing is the topic for today’s training session at 11 Pacific Time. It’s always been a favorite of mine. You see, I learned early on in my career as a Salesperson that the best marketing I could do for my sellers was to convince them to price their home as close to market value as possible. All the marketing you might do, all the fantastic, cutting edge promotion you might undertake, is meaningless if the property is overpriced. Excessive marketing does not make a home worth more. I know: it’s a simple concept, one that is pretty obvious. But it’s striking how many sellers don’t realize it.

(I recently watched Maria Powell doing a listing presentation. At one point she said to the seller, ‘I’m sorry. I really wish I could make your home be worth $400,000. But I can’t. The best I can do is about $370,000 — that’s what the Market Analysis shows.’ )

I have always been a strong advocate of NOT taking overpriced listings. I look back 5 years ago and see that overpriced listings took longer to sell and therefore gobbled up more of an office’s precious marketing dollars. Truth is: every day you have an active listing on the market, it costs you money. And that’s just the tip of the iceberg. Think about the aggravation of dealing with an unrealistic seller wanting to know why you haven’t sold her (overpriced) house yet. And what about your reputation? So what if you have the best deal in town if your listings sit and sit and sit, unsold.

I always urged brokers and salespeople to fight the good fight, do everything they can to get the seller to acknowledge reality and then, if a realistic price cannot be agreed upon, to get up and walk. Don’t take the listing.

Today, I have to modify that stance just a bit.

It is still clearly in the seller’s best interest to price the property properly and we’re all about taking good care of our sellers (and buyers), urging them to do what’s best for them. But ultimately, what’s in the best interest of the Broker?

Every week we ask top producers where their buyer closings come from. Over and over they say the same thing: sign calls, ad calls, Internet leads, Open Houses . . . in almost every case, the buyer comes to us because of our listing inventory. So it’s clearly in the Broker’s best interest (as well as the best interest of ALL the sellers whose homes we have listed) for the office to have as many listings as possible. Listings are the net we cast into the marketplace to capture buyers.

So, what’s really wrong with taking an occasional overpriced listing? Even an overpriced listing will generate calls, right?

Here’s my new point of view:

If you’ve fought the good fight, if you’ve made as compelling a case as you possibly can and the seller still wants to overprice (that’s overprice, not grossly overprice), I think you might take that listing if:

  • You make it very clear you think it’s too high. By being clear when you take the listing, you eliminate the call two months down the road wondering why you haven’t sold the property.
  • You set a date four to six weeks in the future to revisit the pricing issue.
  • You ask every agent who tours or shows the property what they think of the price and you share that with the seller.
  • You give the Seller a Listingbook account or sign them up for some other ‘First to Know’ program so they can see what other homes are selling in the neighborhood, how the competition is priced, etc.

As an agent years ago, I found it helpful to put my unrealistic sellers in the car and take them out to see the competition.  They usually came back with a new appreciation for reality, especially if some of the competition were shiny new homes with flashy models.

Today, success in real estate is all about the buyer.  Can you attract buyer inquiries and convert them into prospects and then into sales?  Anything you can do to attract buyers is beneficial and nothing attracts them better than listings.

Accessibility Toolbar